As the holiday season approaches, investors around the world anticipate the arrival of a peculiar yet festive occurrence in the stock markets – the Santa Rally. This jolly phenomenon has become a topic of interest and speculation among some of our clients, as historical trends suggest that December often brings good tidings for the markets. In this blog post, we’ll unwrap the concept of the Santa Rally, explore its origins, and analyse whether it’s merely a myth or a real gift for investors.
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Great Expectations
July has proved a strong month for investors in the financial markets, particularly across the stock markets of Western developed economies. Returns were generated against a backdrop of economic resilience, especially in the United States where, despite the Federal Reserve having raised interest rates in excess of 5.00%-points in little over a year, growth has persisted and even exceeded expectations.
Moving to the Next Stage
This year marks the 110th edition of the Tour de France, the most prestigious bicycle race in the world. And like the markets, the Tour is always challenging—and evolving. The three-week, grueling 2,200+ mile route changes every year and, surprisingly, starts in different countries—this year in Spain versus the UK, the Netherlands, Germany, Belgium, and Denmark over the previous five years! The point is, just like the Tour, economic and market cycles have different starting points, and no two routes are alike.